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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED SEP 12 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT SAT SEP 15 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
26.4N 86.6W 70 X X X 70 FT MYERS FL 1 3 3 5 12
27.2N 86.7W 43 X X X 43 VENICE FL 2 4 4 4 14
28.0N 86.0W 23 2 1 1 27 TAMPA FL 1 4 4 6 15
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 2 2 CEDAR KEY FL 1 2 6 6 15
MUSN 216N 826W X X X 2 2 ST MARKS FL X 3 6 7 16
MUHA 230N 824W X X 1 3 4 APALACHICOLA FL 2 6 6 4 18
MUAN 219N 850W X X X 3 3 PANAMA CITY FL 2 6 6 4 18
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2 PENSACOLA FL 1 6 6 5 18
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 2 2 MOBILE AL 1 5 6 5 17
MYGF 266N 787W X X X 5 5 GULFPORT MS 1 6 6 4 17
MARATHON FL X 1 1 4 6 BURAS LA 3 9 4 3 19
MIAMI FL X X 2 5 7 NEW ORLEANS LA 1 6 5 3 15
W PALM BEACH FL X X 2 6 8 NEW IBERIA LA X 3 4 4 11
FT PIERCE FL X X 2 7 9 PORT ARTHUR TX X X 1 4 5
COCOA BEACH FL X X 3 7 10 GALVESTON TX X X 1 2 3
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 3 7 10 FREEPORT TX X X X 2 2
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 2 8 10 GULF 29N 85W 6 6 5 3 20
SAVANNAH GA X X X 7 7 GULF 29N 87W 11 7 3 2 23
CHARLESTON SC X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 89W 13 7 2 1 23
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 91W 2 7 4 2 15
WILMINGTON NC X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 93W X 2 2 3 7
KEY WEST FL X 2 1 4 7 GULF 28N 95W X X X 2 2
MARCO ISLAND FL 1 2 3 5 11
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
C FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
D FROM 2AM FRI TO 2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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