HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FELIX PROBABILITIES NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT SEP 15 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FELIX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  36.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST TUE SEP 18 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
34.2N  32.0W      27  1  X  X 28   36.4N  29.6W       7  7  3  1 18
35.5N  30.5W      15  3  2  1 21
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN