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HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  48
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI SEP 14 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 42.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST MON SEP 17 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
48.5N  51.0W      25  3  X  X 28   BURGEO NFLD        7  X  X  X  7
53.5N  46.5W       X 13  X  X 13   ILE ST PIERRE     22  X  X  X 22
SABLE ISLAND NS   36  X  X  X 36   CAPE RACE NFLD    32  X  X  X 32
PTX BASQUES NFLD   2  X  X  X  2   HIBERNIA OILFLD   18  4  X  X 22
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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