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HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  47
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 13 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 41.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  58.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST SUN SEP 16 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
45.7N  53.8W      25  3  X  X 28   BURGEO NFLD        2  1  1  X  4
50.0N  49.0W       1 16  2  X 19   ILE ST PIERRE     11  4  X  X 15
56.0N  43.4W       X  2 10  X 12   CAPE RACE NFLD    19  6  X  X 25
SABLE ISLAND NS    2  X  X  X  2   HIBERNIA OILFLD    1 14  2  X 17
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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