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HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE SEP 11 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST FRI SEP 14 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
39.0N 61.7W 29 1 X X 30 SABLE ISLAND NS X 3 7 4 14
39.8N 59.5W 7 13 2 1 23 SYDNEY NS X X 2 7 9
41.0N 57.5W X 10 6 2 18 EDDY POINT NS X X 4 5 9
EASTPORT ME X X X 2 2 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X 1 6 7
ST JOHN NB X X 1 1 2 BURGEO NFLD X X 1 7 8
MONCTON NB X X 1 2 3 ILE ST PIERRE X X 1 9 10
YARMOUTH NS X 1 1 2 4 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 9 9
HALIFAX NS X 1 3 3 7 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 5 5
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU
C FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
D FROM 2PM THU TO 2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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