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HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN SEP 09 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST WED SEP 12 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
35.6N  64.0W      41  X  X  X 41   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  3  3
36.5N  64.0W      25  2  X  1 28   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  3  3
37.5N  63.0W       7  8  2  3 20   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  3  3
BERMUDA           38  X  X  1 39   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  3  3
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  2  2   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  2  2
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  3  3   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  5  5
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  4  4   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  4  4
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  1  4  5   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  4  4
HYANNIS MA         X  X  1  4  5   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  2  2
BOSTON MA          X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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