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HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN SEP 09 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST WED SEP 12 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
34.1N  65.0W      52  X  X  X 52   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  5  5
35.7N  66.0W      19  9  X  X 28   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  5  5
37.0N  66.0W       2 15  2  2 21   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  1  5  6
BERMUDA           62  X  X  X 62   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  5  5
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1  1  2   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  4  4
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  3  3   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  2  2
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1  3  4   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  2  2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  2  2
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  4  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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