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TROPICAL STORM ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT SEP 08 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST TUE SEP 11 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
29.4N 60.6W 38 X X X 38 NORFOLK VA X X X 2 2
31.0N 61.8W 8 16 1 X 25 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 2 2
32.5N 63.5W X 11 7 2 20 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 2 2
BERMUDA X 7 9 3 19 NANTUCKET MA X X X 2 2
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
C FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
D FROM 2AM MON TO 2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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