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TROPICAL STORM ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI SEP 07 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST MON SEP 10 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.5N 59.3W 35 X X X 35 BERMUDA X 2 10 5 17
30.5N 60.0W 14 11 1 X 26 NANTUCKET MA X X X 2 2
32.5N 62.0W X 11 10 2 23
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
C FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
D FROM 2PM SUN TO 2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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