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TROPICAL STORM ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED SEP 05 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SAT SEP  8 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
19.5N  60.5W      49  X  X  X 49   TISX 177N 648W     X  1  6  4 11
20.5N  62.0W      12 26  1  X 39   TIST 183N 650W     X  1  7  5 13
21.0N  63.0W       1 28  3  1 33   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  1  5  6
TDPR 153N 614W     X  1  1  1  3   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  3  6  9
TFFR 163N 615W     3  5  X  2 10   ST CROIX VI        X  1  6  4 11
TAPA 171N 618W     8  8  1  1 18   ST THOMAS VI       X  1  7  5 13
TKPK 173N 627W     2 11  2  1 16   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  3  6  9
TNCM 181N 631W     2 14  3  1 20   PONCE PR           X  X  1  5  6
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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