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TROPICAL STORM ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 03 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  46.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT THU SEP  6 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
17.9N  51.1W      54  X  X  X 54   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X  2  2
18.9N  53.5W       8 30  X  X 38   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X  2  2
19.9N  55.8W       X 15 15  1 31
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
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