HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM DEAN SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM AST WED AUG 22 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SAT AUG 25 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.7N  71.0W      47  1  X  X 48   MDPP 198N 707W    27  X  X  X 27
23.2N  72.2W      15 17  1  X 33   MBJT 215N 712W    46  X  X  X 46
24.6N  72.4W       1 23  2  1 27   MYMM 224N 730W    15 15  1  X 31
TNCM 181N 631W    11  X  X  X 11   MYSM 241N 745W     X 14  5  2 21
TISX 177N 648W    99  X  X  X 99   MYEG 235N 758W     X  5  6  3 14
TIST 183N 650W    99  X  X  X 99   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  2  4  6
TJPS 180N 666W    16  X  X  X 16   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  2  5  7
MDSD 185N 697W     2  X  X  X  2   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  3  3
MTPP 186N 724W     1  X  X  1  2   ST CROIX VI       99  X  X  X 99
MUGM 200N 751W     1  4  1  1  7   ST THOMAS VI      99  X  X  X 99
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1  1  2   SAN JUAN PR       99  X  X  X 99
TJSJ 184N 661W    99  X  X  X 99   PONCE PR          16  X  X  X 16
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
NNNN