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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT WED AUG 22 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
18.8N 87.8W 42 X X X 42 MMMD 210N 897W X 22 2 X 24
19.8N 89.7W 6 22 1 X 29 GALVESTON TX X X X 2 2
21.0N 91.5W X 16 7 1 24 FREEPORT TX X X X 3 3
MUAN 219N 850W X 2 1 1 4 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 4 4
MMCZ 205N 869W 17 5 X X 22 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 4 4
MZBZ 175N 883W 31 X X X 31 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 8 8
MGPB 157N 886W 1 1 X 1 3 GULF 28N 89W X X X 2 2
MHNJ 165N 859W 40 X X 1 41 GULF 28N 91W X X X 3 3
MMSO 238N 982W X X 1 9 10 GULF 28N 93W X X X 4 4
MMTM 222N 979W X X 2 9 11 GULF 28N 95W X X X 5 5
MMTX 210N 974W X X 3 9 12 GULF 27N 96W X X X 7 7
MMVR 192N 961W X X 4 7 11 GULF 25N 96W X X 1 10 11
MMFR 185N 926W X 10 4 2 16
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
C FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE
D FROM 8PM TUE TO 8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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