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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST TUE AUG 21 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.1N  77.4W      47  1  X  X 48   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  4 13 17
17.0N  80.1W       3 32  X  X 35   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  2 17 19
17.8N  82.6W       X 12 15  1 28   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X 12 12
MTCA 183N 738W     3  X  X  X  3   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  6  6
MKJP 179N 768W    30  3  X  X 33   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  5 10 15
MKJS 185N 779W    10 17  X  1 28   MNPC 141N 834W     X  1  3  3  7
MWCG 193N 814W     X 14 12  X 26   SKSP 126N 817W     X  X  1  1  2
MUCM 214N 779W     X  1  1  1  3   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  3  3
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  5  3  8   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X 13 13
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X 11  5 16   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  3  3
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  3  6  9
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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