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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED AUG 15 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  50.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST SAT AUG 18 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
13.5N  57.0W      50  2  X  X 52   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  9  7 16
14.0N  60.5W       X 34  X  X 34   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  7 12 19
14.5N  63.0W       X  9 15  1 25   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  3 13 16
TNCC 122N 690W     X  X  X  5  5   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  1 17 18
SVMG 110N 640W     X  X  4  2  6   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X 13 13
TTPP 106N 614W     X  2  1  1  4   MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  X 10 10
TTPT 112N 608W     X  6  1  1  8   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X  6  6
TGPY 120N 618W     X 10  4  1 15   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X  3  3
TBPB 131N 595W     3 30  X  X 33   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  1 15 16
TVSV 131N 612W     X 23  2  1 26   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  8  8
TLPL 138N 610W     X 29  2  X 31   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  3  3
TFFF 146N 610W     X 30  2  X 32   ST CROIX VI        X  X  7 12 19
TDPR 153N 614W     X 24  5  X 29   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  3 13 16
TFFR 163N 615W     X 14  9  1 24   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  1 15 16
TAPA 171N 618W     X  5 13  1 19   PONCE PR           X  X  1 17 18
TKPK 173N 627W     X  1 15  3 19
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
C FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
D FROM  8PM FRI TO  8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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