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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED AUG 15 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  45.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SAT AUG 18 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
12.5N  52.0W      48  X  X  X 48   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X 10  8 18
13.0N  55.0W       5 28  X  X 33   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  6 11 17
13.5N  58.0W       X 12 14  1 27   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  4 11 15
SVMG 110N 640W     X  X  X  8  8   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  1 12 13
TTPP 106N 614W     X  X  2 11 13   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  1 12 13
TTPT 112N 608W     X  X  5 10 15   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X 10 10
TGPY 120N 618W     X  X  4 11 15   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X  3  3
TBPB 131N 595W     X  2 17  3 22   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X 10 10
TVSV 131N 612W     X  X 10  9 19   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  2  2
TLPL 138N 610W     X  X 13  7 20   ST CROIX VI        X  X  1 12 13
TFFF 146N 610W     X  X 15  6 21   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  1 12 13
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X 13  7 20   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X 10 10
TFFR 163N 615W     X  X 12  8 20   PONCE PR           X  X  X 10 10
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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