HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM BARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SUN AUG 05 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT WED AUG  8 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
31.7N  86.9W      37  1  X  X 38   GULFPORT MS        7  4  2  2 15
33.0N  87.7W      25  1  X  1 27   BURAS LA           1  3  2  3  9
33.5N  88.5W      16  5  1  1 23   NEW ORLEANS LA     1  2  2  5 10
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  1  2  3   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  2  5  7
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  4  4
TAMPA FL           X  X  1  1  2   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  2  2
CEDAR KEY FL       1  1  X  2  4   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  2  2
ST MARKS FL       12  1  X  1 14   GULF 29N 85W      36  X  X  X 36
APALACHICOLA FL   31  X  X  X 31   GULF 29N 87W      99  X  X  X 99
PANAMA CITY FL    47  X  X  X 47   GULF 28N 89W       X  1  1  3  5
PENSACOLA FL      42  X  X  X 42   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  4  4
MOBILE AL         20  1  1  1 23   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM MON TO  1AM TUE
C FROM  1AM TUE TO  1PM TUE
D FROM  1PM TUE TO  1PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
NNNN