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TROPICAL STORM BARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT FRI AUG 03 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT MON AUG 6 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.0N 88.9W 56 X X X 56 NEW ORLEANS LA 3 9 5 4 21
27.4N 89.9W 29 1 1 X 31 NEW IBERIA LA 1 9 7 3 20
28.3N 90.4W 17 7 1 1 26 PORT ARTHUR TX X 4 8 4 16
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 GALVESTON TX X 3 7 5 15
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2 FREEPORT TX X 2 6 5 13
SAVANNAH GA X X X 2 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X 1 3 5 9
FT MYERS FL X X X 2 2 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X 1 4 5
VENICE FL X X 1 2 3 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 3 3
TAMPA FL X X 1 3 4 GULF 29N 85W 1 2 3 5 11
CEDAR KEY FL X X 1 4 5 GULF 29N 87W 12 2 3 2 19
ST MARKS FL X X 1 6 7 GULF 28N 89W 36 X X 1 37
APALACHICOLA FL X 2 2 6 10 GULF 28N 91W 14 9 2 1 26
PANAMA CITY FL 1 1 3 6 11 GULF 28N 93W 2 11 4 3 20
PENSACOLA FL 1 3 5 5 14 GULF 28N 95W X 3 6 4 13
MOBILE AL 1 4 6 5 16 GULF 27N 96W X 1 2 5 8
GULFPORT MS 2 6 6 4 18 GULF 25N 96W X X X 3 3
BURAS LA 10 6 4 2 22
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM SAT TO 7AM SUN
C FROM 7AM SUN TO 7PM SUN
D FROM 7PM SUN TO 7PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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