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TROPICAL STORM BARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT FRI AUG 03 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT MON AUG  6 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
27.3N  88.8W      64  X  X  X 64   NEW IBERIA LA      4 10  4  3 21
27.6N  89.7W      39  1  X  X 40   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  6  6  5 17
27.9N  90.4W      27  1  1  1 30   GALVESTON TX       X  5  5  5 15
MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  2  2   FREEPORT TX        X  3  5  5 13
VENICE FL          X  X  X  2  2   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  1  3  6 10
TAMPA FL           X  X  X  3  3   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  1  5  6
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  1  2  3   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  4  4
ST MARKS FL        X  X  1  4  5   GULF 29N 85W       1  3  2  3  9
APALACHICOLA FL    X  2  2  4  8   GULF 29N 87W      12  3  2  2 19
PANAMA CITY FL     1  2  2  5 10   GULF 28N 89W      46  X  X  X 46
PENSACOLA FL       2  4  3  5 14   GULF 28N 91W      21  3  1  1 26
MOBILE AL          2  6  4  4 16   GULF 28N 93W       5  8  4  3 20
GULFPORT MS        5  7  4  3 19   GULF 28N 95W       X  4  4  6 14
BURAS LA          15  4  3  1 23   GULF 27N 96W       X  1  2  6  9
NEW ORLEANS LA     8  8  3  3 22   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  1  4  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM SAT TO  7PM SAT
C FROM  7PM SAT TO  7AM SUN
D FROM  7AM SUN TO  7AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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