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TROPICAL STORM BARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT FRI AUG 03 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT MON AUG  6 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
27.3N  88.2W      57  X  X  X 57   NEW ORLEANS LA     6  8  4  3 21
27.5N  89.0W      36  X  X  X 36   NEW IBERIA LA      2  9  5  4 20
27.8N  90.0W      22  2  2  1 27   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  4  6  5 15
MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  2  2   GALVESTON TX       X  2  6  6 14
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2   FREEPORT TX        X  1  5  6 12
MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  2  2   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  2  6  8
FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  1  4  5
VENICE FL          X  1  X  2  3   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  4  4
TAMPA FL           X  1  X  3  4   GULF 29N 85W       4  3  2  3 12
CEDAR KEY FL       X  1  X  4  5   GULF 29N 87W      15  3  2  1 21
ST MARKS FL        X  1  1  5  7   GULF 28N 89W      31  1  X  1 33
APALACHICOLA FL    2  2  2  4 10   GULF 28N 91W      14  5  3  2 24
PANAMA CITY FL     2  3  3  4 12   GULF 28N 93W       2  7  5  4 18
PENSACOLA FL       3  5  3  4 15   GULF 28N 95W       X  2  4  6 12
MOBILE AL          3  6  4  4 17   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  2  6  8
GULFPORT MS        5  7  4  3 19   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X  5  5
BURAS LA          13  6  2  2 23
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM SAT TO  1PM SAT
C FROM  1PM SAT TO  1AM SUN
D FROM  1AM SUN TO  1AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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