ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM BARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU AUG 02 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT SUN AUG 5 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.5N 87.0W 48 X X X 48 GULFPORT MS 6 8 3 3 20
27.7N 87.9W 31 1 1 X 33 BURAS LA 11 7 3 2 23
27.9N 88.9W 20 3 2 1 26 NEW ORLEANS LA 4 10 4 2 20
MUAN 219N 850W X X X 2 2 NEW IBERIA LA 1 8 5 4 18
COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 PORT ARTHUR TX X 1 6 6 13
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 GALVESTON TX X X 4 7 11
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2 FREEPORT TX X X 2 8 10
KEY WEST FL X X 1 1 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X X 1 6 7
MARCO ISLAND FL X 1 1 2 4 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 5 5
FT MYERS FL 1 1 1 2 5 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 3 3
VENICE FL 2 2 1 2 7 GULF 29N 85W 15 2 1 1 19
TAMPA FL 1 2 1 2 6 GULF 29N 87W 22 2 1 1 26
CEDAR KEY FL 1 1 2 3 7 GULF 28N 89W 19 4 1 1 25
ST MARKS FL 1 2 2 3 8 GULF 28N 91W 4 8 4 4 20
APALACHICOLA FL 7 3 1 3 14 GULF 28N 93W X 3 5 6 14
PANAMA CITY FL 7 3 2 3 15 GULF 28N 95W X X 2 8 10
PENSACOLA FL 6 5 3 3 17 GULF 27N 96W X X X 7 7
MOBILE AL 5 6 4 3 18 GULF 25N 96W X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM FRI TO 7AM SAT
C FROM 7AM SAT TO 7PM SAT
D FROM 7PM SAT TO 7PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
Problems?
![[NCEP Logo]](/graphics/ncep.gif){kind=small}