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TROPICAL STORM BARRY SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
3 PM EDT THU AUG 02 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 3 PM EDT...1900Z...THE CENTER OF BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.3N 86.2W 58 X X X 58 NEW ORLEANS LA 1 11 5 3 20
27.6N 87.5W 31 1 X X 32 NEW IBERIA LA X 4 8 5 17
27.8N 88.8W 15 8 2 1 26 PORT ARTHUR TX X X 4 8 12
MUAN 219N 850W X X X 2 2 GALVESTON TX X X 2 9 11
MMMD 210N 897W X X X 2 2 FREEPORT TX X X 1 8 9
MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 2 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 7 7
FT MYERS FL X 1 X 1 2 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 5 5
VENICE FL 7 X X 1 8 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 4 4
TAMPA FL 6 X X 1 7 GULF 29N 85W 24 1 X X 25
CEDAR KEY FL 5 1 X 2 8 GULF 29N 87W 25 2 X 1 28
ST MARKS FL 5 2 1 2 10 GULF 28N 89W 12 10 2 1 25
APALACHICOLA FL 14 1 1 1 17 GULF 28N 91W 1 8 7 3 19
PANAMA CITY FL 13 2 1 2 18 GULF 28N 93W X 1 6 8 15
PENSACOLA FL 7 8 2 2 19 GULF 28N 95W X X 1 9 10
MOBILE AL 3 11 3 2 19 GULF 27N 96W X X X 7 7
GULFPORT MS 2 13 3 3 21 GULF 25N 96W X X X 5 5
BURAS LA 3 15 3 2 23
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
C FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
D FROM 2PM SAT TO 2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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