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HURRICANE OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1701
1500Z FRI NOV 02 2001
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 129.1W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 342 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 129.1W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 129.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.0N 129.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.0N 129.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.9N 130.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 129.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 21.3N 131.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N 132.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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