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HURRICANE NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1601
1500Z MON OCT 22 2001
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 134.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT.......125NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 134.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 133.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.4N 135.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.0N 137.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 17.5N 140.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 134.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 18.0N 142.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 19.0N 145.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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