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HURRICANE NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1601
2100Z SUN OCT 21 2001
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 131.2W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 131.2W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 130.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.0N 132.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.0N 135.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.0N 138.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 131.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 18.0N 140.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 19.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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