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TROPICAL STORM MANUEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1501
1500Z WED OCT 17 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 121.7W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 121.7W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 121.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.7N 122.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 22.8N 123.4W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 23.6N 124.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 121.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART/BROWN
 
 
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