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TROPICAL STORM MANUEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1501
0300Z WED OCT 17 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 120.9W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 120.9W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 120.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.4N 122.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.6N 124.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 22.6N 126.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 120.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 23.5N 127.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 25.0N 130.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN/COBB
 
 
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