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TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1501
0900Z SAT OCT 13 2001
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 112.8W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 112.8W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 112.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 14.5N 113.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.5N 114.9W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 14.9N 116.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 112.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 15.5N 117.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 16.5N 118.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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