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TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1501
0300Z SAT OCT 13 2001
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 112.1W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 112.1W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 111.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 14.8N 113.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.7N 114.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 14.8N 115.0W
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 112.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 15.5N 116.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 17.0N 117.8W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA/NELSON
 
 
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