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TROPICAL STORM MANUEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1501
1500Z FRI OCT 12 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 109.4W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 109.4W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 109.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.9N 110.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.0N 111.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.0N 112.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 109.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 16.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 16.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/MOLLEDA
 
 
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