HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1301
2100Z TUE OCT 02 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 105.7W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 105.7W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 105.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.8N 106.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.9N 107.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.0N 107.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 105.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 21.3N 106.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 25.5N 104.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN