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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1201
0300Z SAT SEP 22 2001
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 118.1W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 118.1W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 117.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.0N 120.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.3N 122.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.6N 124.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 118.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 17.0N 127.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 18.0N 130.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA/COBB
 
 
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