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HURRICANE JULIETTE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1101
1800Z MON SEP 24 2001
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO.
 
ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN MEXICAN COAST AND SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JULIETTE
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 104.2W AT 24/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 250SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 104.2W AT 24/1800Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 103.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.6N 104.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.5N 105.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.6N 106.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 104.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 19.0N 107.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 21.2N 108.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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