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HURRICANE JULIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1101
2100Z SUN SEP 23 2001
 
AT 2 PM...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES AND HAS
EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WATCH ALONG THE COAST TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH AND HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM
LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN MEXICAN COAST AND SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JULIETTE
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 103.2W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 103.2W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 102.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.5N 104.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.5N 105.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.0N 106.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 103.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 18.5N 107.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 20.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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