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TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1101
0900Z SAT SEP 22 2001
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST
OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO TO MANZANILLO MEXICO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  98.4W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  98.4W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  97.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.7N  99.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.2N 101.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.0N 102.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N  98.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 16.0N 104.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 18.0N 106.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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