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TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1001
0300Z WED SEP 12 2001
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENISULA
FROM CABO SAN LUCAS TO CABO SAN LAZARO.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM
MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 107.3W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 107.3W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 106.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 19.2N 109.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 20.8N 111.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 22.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 107.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 23.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 25.5N 118.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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