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TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1001
0900Z TUE SEP 11 2001
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST FROM ACAPULCO TO CABO
CORRIENTES.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 103.2W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......135NE  75SE  75SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 103.2W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 102.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 16.0N 104.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.7N 107.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 17.8N 109.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 103.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 18.9N 111.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 21.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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