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TROPICAL STORM DALILA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0501
1500Z SAT JUL 21 2001
 
AT 1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ACAPULCO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  96.1W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  96.1W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  95.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 13.3N  97.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 14.1N  99.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 14.5N 101.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N  96.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 15.0N 103.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 16.0N 107.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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