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TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0401
0300Z MON JUL 23 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 126.1W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......125NE 100SE  75SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 126.1W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 125.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.0N 127.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.4N 129.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 20.8N 130.7W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 126.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 21.1N 132.2W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 21.5N 134.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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