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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0401
0300Z SAT JUL 21 2001
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 118.2W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 118.2W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 117.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.0N 119.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.0N 121.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.0N 122.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 118.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 19.0N 124.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 20.0N 125.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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