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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0401
2100Z FRI JUL 20 2001
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 117.2W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 117.2W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 117.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 14.0N 117.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 14.5N 118.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.0N 119.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 117.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 15.8N 121.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 17.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
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