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HURRICANE ADOLPH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0101
2100Z TUE MAY 29 2001
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 105.7W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 105.7W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/18Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 105.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 16.0N 107.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 16.5N 109.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 17.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 105.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 17.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 17.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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