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HURRICANE ADOLPH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0101
1500Z TUE MAY 29 2001
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 104.6W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......125NE  85SE  75SW  85NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 350SE 150SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 104.6W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/12Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 104.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.1N 105.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE  85SE  75SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 16.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 16.9N 109.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 104.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 17.3N 110.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 18.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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