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HURRICANE ADOLPH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0101
0900Z TUE MAY 29 2001
   
CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 103.6W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......125NE  85SE  75SW  85NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 350SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 103.6W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/06Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 103.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 15.9N 105.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE  85SE  75SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 16.4N 106.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 16.9N 107.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 103.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 17.2N 109.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 17.5N 111.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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