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HURRICANE ADOLPH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0101
0300Z TUE MAY 29 2001
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO.
HOWEVER...INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
HURRICANE.
 
CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 102.5W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 350SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 102.5W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/00Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 102.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 15.6N 103.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.2N 105.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 16.7N 106.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 102.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 17.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 17.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  85SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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