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HURRICANE MICHELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1501
2100Z MON NOV 05 2001
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS WILL DISCONTINUE ALL HURRICANE
WARNINGS FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AT 5 PM EST...2200
UTC.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF
ABACO AND ELEUTHERA.
 
AT 4 PM EST...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA CHANGED THEIR HURRICANE
WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
THE GALE WARNING IS DISCONTINUED ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
COCOA BEACH SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET.  MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SLOLY SUBSIDE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  75.4W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT.......150NE  75SE  75SW 150NW.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 180SE 180SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  75.4W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  76.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 27.2N  72.8W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...150NE  75SE  75SW 150NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 28.3N  68.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 200SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 29.5N  64.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 200SW 250NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.9N  75.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 31.0N  60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 200SW 250NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 36.0N  52.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 200SW 250NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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