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HURRICANE MICHELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1501
0900Z MON NOV 05 2001
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN REEF....AND ALSO
FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND THE DRY
TORTUGAS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FOR THE
PROVINCES FROM PINAR DEL RIO EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA...
INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH. HOWEVER...THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY
BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN AND
CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  THIS INCLUDES GRAND BAHAMA...THE ABACOS...THE
BERRY ISLANDS...  BIMINI...ANDROS...NEW PROVIDENCE...ELEUTHERA...
CAT ISLAND...EXUMAS...SAN SALVADOR...RUM CAY AND LONG ISLAND.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
A GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA COAST
FROM COCOA BEACH SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  79.4W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......170NE 125SE 125SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 250SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  79.4W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N  79.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 24.9N  77.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 125SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.5N  74.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...225NE 140SE 125SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 28.0N  70.1W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...360NE 200SE 200SW 360NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N  79.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 30.2N  65.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...120NE  80SE  80SW 120NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 200SW 360NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 38.5N  55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...120NE  80SE  80SW 120NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 200SW 360NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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