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HURRICANE MICHELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1501
2100Z SUN NOV 04 2001
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS
FROM OCEAN REEF WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FOR THE
PROVINCES FROM PINAR DEL RIO EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA...
INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN REEF AND ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN AND
CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  THIS INCLUDES GRAND BAHAMA...THE ABACOS...THE
BERRY ISLANDS...  BIMINI...ANDROS...NEW PROVIDENCE...ELEUTHERA...CAT
ISLAND...EXUMAS...SAN SALVADOR...RUM CAY AND LONG ISLAND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS BUT
WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED TONIGHT.
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  81.3W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  949 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......180NE 125SE 125SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 250SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  81.3W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  81.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 23.6N  80.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 125SE 125SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 25.8N  76.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 125SE 125SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 28.0N  71.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...360NE 200SE 200SW 360NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N  81.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 31.5N  65.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...540NE 300SE 300SW 540NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 43.0N  53.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...180NE 100SE 100SW 180NW.
34 KT...540NE 300SE 300SW 540NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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