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HURRICANE MICHELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1501
1500Z FRI NOV 02 2001
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES IN
WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...HAVANA CITY...MATANZAS...
AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
ALL INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHELLE.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 83.9W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 60SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 60SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 83.9W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 83.9W
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.5N 84.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.6N 84.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.7N 84.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 83.9W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 21.5N 83.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 23.5N 81.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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