HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM COR
TROPICAL STORM MICHELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1501
2100Z THU NOV 01 2001

...CORRECTED TO INDICATE HURRICANE WATCH JUST ISSUED BY CUBA...
 
AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE 
WATCH FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES IN WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL 
RIO...LA HABANA...HAVANA CITY...MATANZAS...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. 
 
ALL INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHELLE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  83.8W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE  45SE  45SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE  60SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  83.8W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  83.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.6N  84.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.4N  84.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.4N  84.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N  83.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 20.5N  84.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 22.0N  83.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
NNNN